Here is the second week of using a new model. December 16: Bayern Munich vs. FC Cologne (Home Win: 72.6%, Draw: 21.4%, Away Win: 6.0%, Score: 2.30-0.68) Benfica vs. Rio Ave (83.6%, 11.5%, 4.9%, 2.40-0.54)
Here is the second week of using a new model. December 16: Bayern Munich vs. FC Cologne (Home Win: 72.6%, Draw: 21.4%, Away Win: 6.0%, Score: 2.30-0.68) Benfica vs. Rio Ave (83.6%, 11.5%, 4.9%, 2.40-0.54)
Here are the predictions for the weekend. This model is slightly different as it does not account for shots and shots on goal, and instead only uses goals scored in order to predict results of the next game. December 9,…
Here are the predictions for the games this weekend. November 25th Udinese vs. AS Roma (Home Win: 45.7%, Draw: 29.4%, Away Win: 24.9%, 1.58-1.16) FC Cologne vs. Borussia Monchengladbach (45.5%, 30.2%, 24.4%, 1.45-1.04)
Looking back at my past predictions, the model has been doing decently well since the first week. The database was expanded after the first week, so the extra data made the predictions more accurate. Week 1: 19/49 (38.8%) Week 2:…
This week I’ve also added the expected score in addition to the percentages. November 4, 2011 Mainz vs. VfB Stuttgart (Home Win: 36.0%, Draw: 29.0%, Away Win: 34.9%, Score: 1.30-1.25).
Last week’s predictions weren’t all that great, but here are the predictions for the games from this coming weekend. October 28, 2011 SC Freiburg vs. Bayer Leverkusen (Home Win: 26.7%, Draw: 27.7%, Away Win: 45.6%)
I finally got around to using my effectiveness statistics to make predictions. The idea behind the model is that the every game can be described by four values: offensive and defensive effectiveness for both the home and away teams. Every…
This is a closer look at the statistics trying to match the statistics with the performances on the field and in the table. France The statistics show that finishing is key as all of the top teams have the top…
It is still early in the season, but the race for the Champions League spots is picking up and the preseason top six candidates are having a wide range of experiences. Here is a look at the top six. Manchester…
The league has already begun, but here is my prediction for the upcoming season although there are transfers that could be in the works in these final weeks. Relegation: Last year the relegation battle was competitive and I expect it…
